TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the final group stage standings order for Group A at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, which features Mexico, South Africa, Korea Republic, and Czechia. On Kalshi, the specific scenario of Mexico first, South Africa second, Czechia third, and Korea Republic fourth stands at 13.0%, while an alternative finishing order carries 11.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official final standings released by FIFA following the group stage matches concluding around June 28, 2026.
Group A of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup consists of Mexico, South Africa, Korea Republic, and Czechia. The market resolves to Yes if these teams finish in one of the specified orderings during the group stage. Final standings are determined by FIFA's official tie-breaking methodology, which typically considers points earned, goal differential, goals scored, and head-to-head records to rank teams when they are level on points.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in margin for profit, while prediction markets aggregate continuous buy-sell activity from many participants. For Group A exact order, the prediction market may price certain standings sequences more or less favorably than sportsbooks, especially as new team news, injuries, or qualifying results shift expectations closer to the tournament.
The Group A: Exact Order market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all Group A matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup have concluded. The outcome is determined by the final standings table for Group A, which ranks the four teams by points earned, goal differential, and goals scored according to FIFA tournament rules. Once the official final standings are published, the contract corresponding to the actual group finish order resolves to 100, and all other contracts resolve to zero.
Several catalysts can shift Group A exact order odds before Jun 28, 2026. Key signals include official squad announcements and injury updates for Group A teams, results from pre-tournament friendlies, changes in team coaching staff, and qualifying-round performance trends. As the tournament approaches, each group match result will dramatically reprrice remaining standings sequences. Late-breaking news—such as a star player's fitness status or a surprise team withdrawal—can also trigger sharp moves. Trader sentiment and betting market activity on related markets may amplify these shifts.