TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 Winner
- Polymarket
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 Winner - Polymarket
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Vol.
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Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Closed: Aug 8, 8:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Joel Schwaerzler in Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have over or under 21.5 games, and on Polymarket, the current probability for the leading outcome stands at 100% according to ATP Tour data. The match, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET, serves as the key catalyst to watch for resolution, with the market set to resolve on August 15, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Joel Schwaerzler in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Mathys Erhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines. Traders in this market can react to real-time news, player form, and injury updates faster than sportsbooks typically adjust. As a result, you may see sharper or more volatile pricing here, especially as Aug 15, 2026 nears. Comparing the two can reveal differences in how each market weights new information.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized pool of trader bets, where each outcome’s share price reflects the collective belief in its likelihood. The top outcome’s chance is shown as a percentage, and liquidity is driven by the total volume of $1,120,239. Traders can place yes/no positions, influencing the market price dynamically as new information emerges before Aug 15, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match outcome, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Timing depends on when official results are announced post-match, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.