TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 9:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Andrea Guerrieri in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Andrea Guerrieri. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Andrea Guerrieri in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Andrea Guerrieri. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced view of fighter prospects because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust rapidly to new information. In contrast, traditional sportsbook odds are set by analysts and may lag behind immediate developments. For this market, discrepancies can arise from differing access to data or risk appetites between trader groups and bookmakers, making both sources valuable for comparative analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, reflecting either a win by one fighter, a draw, or any other defined result that matches the market’s listed options. No further interpretation beyond widely accepted public records is needed.
Key signals include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and betting pattern shifts. Any change in fighter form, strategy reveals, or even geopolitical factors affecting venue conditions can sway trader sentiment. As the event nears, momentum from early bets or late-breaking news often creates noticeable price swings, making this market responsive to both quantitative data and qualitative perceptions.