TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Donski' if Alexander Donski advances against Takuya Kumasaka. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Alexander Donski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Donski' if Alexander Donski advances against Takuya Kumasaka. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Alexander Donski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome — such as a win by knockout, submission, or judges’ scorecards — and will be reflected once authoritative news sources and the fight’s governing body announce the final result.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, changes to fighting strategies revealed in media interviews, and betting trends as the event draws nearer. Performance metrics from recent sparring sessions, weight-cutting progress, and any last-minute substitutions or rule changes may also influence trader sentiment. As these developments surface, the odds can swing significantly, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants on Polymarket.