TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Górnik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Górnik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating prices driven by collective conviction rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks, by contrast, balance liability and apply vig to generate profit. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbooks depending on breaking news, team roster changes, or tactical shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to conventional betting lines.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or reputable sports data providers. Whichever team is credited with scoring first will determine the winning contract. Until that moment, prices will fluctuate based on live match events, team performance, and trader sentiment. After resolution, the winning contract is worth one dollar and the losing contract expires worthless.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived scoring threat. Early possession patterns and shot attempts during the match itself typically trigger sharp price moves as traders react to live action. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, and momentum swings all influence trader conviction about which side will break through first. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee decisions may also sway the flow of play. Additionally, any unexpected developments—such as a red card or significant injury—can rapidly reprice this market as the probability landscape changes.