TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grêmio Novorizontino vs. SC Recife
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Grêmio Novorizontino vs SC Recife?

Volume:
$330,186

Gremio Novorizontino

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 10:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gremio Novorizontino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94,666
N/A
N/A
$51,579
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grêmio Novorizontino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sport Recife

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,711
N/A
N/A
$93,755
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,494
N/A
N/A
$27,895
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Grêmio Novorizontino vs. SC Recife)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Recife

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Grêmio Novorizontino will win their Brazilian Serie B soccer match against SC Recife. The aggregated consensus probability for Grêmio Novorizontino winning stands at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the official CBF Serie B results page. The key date to monitor is August 28, 2026, when the match is scheduled to conclude.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence - Polymarket uses three separate binary outcomes while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves to Yes for any possible match resultHero tip: Do not treat these markets as equivalent. Polymarket requires specific outcome matches while Kalshi pays out regardless of winner. Consider hedging strategies across platforms based on your outcome expectations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Grêmio Novorizontino win? Will it end in a draw? Will SC Recife win? Each market resolves based on exact outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time with specific cancellation rules
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Grêmio Novorizontino wins OR SC Recife wins OR the match ends in a draw (any possible result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, August 28, 2026 between Grêmio Novorizontino and SC Recife.

Kalshi

This event mirrors the structure of the first, with three markets representing Gremio Novorizontino win, Sport Recife win, or a tie, resolved based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A tie results in the Tie market resolving to Yes. As with the previous event, cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution for all markets. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Grêmio vs. SC Recife match outcome market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume for each possible result. It visualizes how traders on different platforms price the chances of each team winning or drawing, along with total volume of $330,186. This unified view helps users compare sentiment and spot shifts ahead of the match.