TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Grêmio Novorizontino and AC Goianiense, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio Novorizontino vs. AC Goianiense match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Grêmio Novorizontino and AC Goianiense, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio Novorizontino vs. AC Goianiense match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants willing to stake capital on specific outcomes, which can sometimes outperform or lag behind sportsbook consensus depending on information flow and market depth. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through continuous trading, with the market price reflecting the current probability consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline is a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes should theoretically sum to 100 percent, though in practice market inefficiencies and fees create small deviations. Prices update in real time as new trades execute, so early movers can capture value before the market adjusts to breaking news or shifting sentiment about team form and lineup changes.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match between Grêmio and AC Goianiense concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with the winning contract corresponding to the actual result. Traders holding the correct exact score prediction receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle once official confirmation is available.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends heading into match day. Betting market shifts and sharp money movement on sportsbooks can signal informed positioning that filters into prediction markets. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head history may also influence trader conviction around specific scorelines. As the match approaches, pre-game commentary and final team confirmations often trigger repricing, with late-breaking developments potentially creating volatility in odds for the most likely outcomes.