TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino
polymarket
kalshi

Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino

Volume:
$354,817

Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,335
N/A
N/A
$6,954
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,830
N/A
N/A
$85,116
Settled
No
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bragantino

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,526
N/A
N/A
$19,864
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileirão Série A match between Grêmio FBPA and Red Bull Bragantino scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track whether Grêmio wins, Bragantino wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines explicit cancellation outcomes (Win markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating resolution ambiguity if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero tip: Monitor CBF scheduling announcements closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while Kalshi's resolution path is unclear. Hedge or clarify with Kalshi support before match day to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Grêmio Win (Yes if Grêmio wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise, but Yes if canceled), Bragantino Win (Yes if Bragantino wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' for win markets and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Bragantino Win, Gremio Win, Tie) that resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Gremio vs Bragantino professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.