TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino
Volume:
$354,817
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileirão Série A match between Grêmio FBPA and Red Bull Bragantino scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track whether Grêmio wins, Bragantino wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines explicit cancellation outcomes (Win markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating resolution ambiguity if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor CBF scheduling announcements closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while Kalshi's resolution path is unclear. Hedge or clarify with Kalshi support before match day to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Grêmio Win (Yes if Grêmio wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise, but Yes if canceled), Bragantino Win (Yes if Bragantino wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' for win markets and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' for draw market.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Bragantino Win, Gremio Win, Tie) that resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Gremio vs Bragantino professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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