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Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC - Exact Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the exact score of Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC?

Volume:
$24,877

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 1 Fluminense FC

 - Polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 1 Fluminense FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 10:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 1 Fluminense FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,804
N/A
N/A
$5,879
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 3 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,187
N/A
N/A
$1,544
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 2 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 0 - 1 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 0 - 0 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 2 - 0 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$772
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 2 - 1 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 1 - 0 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 3 - 3 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 0 - 3 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 0 - 2 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 2 - 3 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 2 - 2 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 3 - 2 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Other Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 3 - 0 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA 3 - 1 Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Série A match between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC scheduled for July 26, 2026. Polymarket offers 18 binary markets on specific score outcomes (0-0 through 3-3, plus 'Any Other Score'), while Kalshi offers 4 binary markets on goal-differential thresholds (Grêmio by >2.5, Grêmio by >1.5, Fluminense by >1.5, Fluminense by >2.5). Both platforms measure the result at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure divergence: Polymarket uses exact-score binary outcomes while Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds. Both measure the same match result but settle on incompatible dimensions, making direct comparison impossible.Hero tip: These markets are not in conflict—they serve different trading strategies. Polymarket is for exact-score prediction; Kalshi is for margin-of-victory prediction. Both will resolve consistently from the same official final score, but each platform's binary structure is independent. Monitor the official Brazil Série A governing body (CBF) announcement for the final score; this single data point will deterministically resolve all markets on both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 18 binary markets on discrete exact-score outcomes (0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 0-2, 1-1, 2-0, 0-3, 1-2, 2-1, 3-0, 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 2-3, 3-2, 3-3) plus 1 catch-all 'Any Other Score' market. Resolution: official CBF statistics within 2 hours post-match; if canceled with no makeup, resolves to 0-0. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC match... considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time.'
  • Kalshi: 4 binary markets on goal-differential outcomes: Gremio >2.5, Gremio >1.5, Fluminense >1.5, Fluminense >2.5. Each resolves Yes/No based on whether the stated margin is exceeded. Key Quote: 'If Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Gremio vs Fluminense... professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Gremio vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve based on whether Gremio wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin, or No otherwise.

Frequently asked questions

The Grêmio vs. Fluminense exact score market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor consensus on the final scoreline of this matchup. Each platform displays real-time odds reflecting what participants believe will be the precise result. By tracking this market, you can see which exact scores are considered most likely, compare pricing across venues, and observe how sentiment shifts as match day approaches. The dashboard consolidates volume and probability data, giving you a unified view of how the prediction community is positioning itself on this specific outcome.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader supply and demand. This market reflects what thousands of independent participants believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient at pricing tail events and niche outcomes, though sportsbook odds may offer tighter spreads on high-volume bets. Comparing both sources can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds on exact score outcomes, as they alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Pre-match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments announced by either manager will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors may also matter for a match of this caliber. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected roster moves or official confirmations of key player availability typically trigger repricing. Live betting sentiment and social media discussion can amplify moves, especially if one team is perceived as gaining or losing an edge.