TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC?

Volume:
$1,587,654

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 7:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$197,405
N/A
N/A
$102,777
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$85,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fluminense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612,557
N/A
N/A
$267,634
Settled
No
polymarket

Fluminense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$418,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180,801
N/A
N/A
$104,271
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Grêmio FBPA versus Fluminense FC match scheduled for July 26, 2026 will end in a draw, with the current aggregated consensus at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolving based on the official result reported by the CBF. Fluminense FC winning stands at 0.1%. Watch the match result on July 26, 2026 as the definitive catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ in cancellation/postponement handling and market structure clarity. Polymarket explicitly states draw resolves YES if canceled (while win markets resolve NO), whereas Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Before the match date, confirm with Kalshi whether a full cancellation triggers YES, NO, or void across all three outcome markets. Polymarket traders should note the asymmetric draw-market advantage in cancellation scenarios. Both platforms align on regular play scope (90 min + stoppage, no extra time/penalties) and official CBF/governing body as primary source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets with explicit contingency rules. Grêmio win and Fluminense win resolve NO if canceled; Draw resolves YES if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Primary source: CBF official statistics within 2 hours post-match, fallback to credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs 'Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three separate YES/NO markets covering all outcomes (Gremio win, Fluminense win, Tie) with no explicit cancellation or postponement rules stated. Primary source: implied official Brasileiro Serie A result after 90 min + stoppage time. Quote: 'If Gremio wins the Gremio vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes' with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Gremio vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome will be one of three possibilities: Gremio victory, Fluminense victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or postponed to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Grêmio vs. Fluminense match, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on match outcomes. Both venues host the same event, enabling you to compare how each platform prices the result. The aggregated view shows consensus sentiment across the prediction market ecosystem, helping you identify where traders collectively see the highest probability. You can track volume of $1,587,654 across both platforms and monitor how odds shift as new information emerges. This cross-platform perspective reveals whether one venue is pricing the outcome differently, signaling potential arbitrage or genuine disagreement among market participants.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and adjust lines to balance action on both sides, factoring in their margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader consensus—prices emerge from buy and sell orders placed by participants who believe they can profit from mispricing. This market-driven approach often reflects real-time sentiment more dynamically than sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional proprietary data or sharper professional action. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal which venue perceives higher or lower probability for each outcome, helping you spot value.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically drives significant price shifts in this market. Tactical announcements, recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader sentiment. Betting syndicate activity or sharp money entering either platform can signal confidence in one outcome, prompting rapid repricing. Media coverage and expert analysis may sway retail traders closer to the event. Late-breaking developments such as player absences or venue changes can trigger volatility. Monitoring social media, official team statements, and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of market moves and identify when odds no longer reflect the latest information.