TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória
Volume:
$237,405
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Grêmio FBPA and EC Vitória scheduled for March 19, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Grêmio win, draw, Vitória win), while Kalshi offers four over/under markets on total goals scored by both teams combined.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi measure different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on match outcome (three mutually exclusive results), while Kalshi resolves on total goals scored (four independent thresholds). Both reference the same match and time window (90 minutes + stoppage time) but are distinct market types.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge outcome markets with totals markets assuming they will move together. A 2-1 Grêmio win resolves Grêmio Yes on Polymarket but also resolves >2.5 goals Yes on Kalshi—but a 1-0 Grêmio win resolves Grêmio Yes on Polymarket and >1.5 goals Yes on Kalshi, but >2.5 goals No. Treat each market family independently and confirm your exposure type before the match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Grêmio win, draw, Vitória win). Resolution source is CBF official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Grêmio/Vitória wins to No and draw to Yes. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Four independent over/under total goals markets (>4.5, >3.5, >2.5, >1.5). No explicit resolution source or fallback consensus language provided. No postponement or cancellation handling documented. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time, excludes extra time and penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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