TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the event’s potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Grêmio or Vasco will score first. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring, and the market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, Grêmio or Vasco, is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match. Any potential delays in official reporting could slightly postpone resolution, but the outcome will be determined by the official match records. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grêmio or Vasco would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also be a catalyst. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could trigger trading activity and move the market. Any information perceived as altering the teams’ relative chances of scoring first has the potential to impact prices.