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Closed: Aug 23, 10:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines if Greuther Furth wins the match against Bochum by a margin greater than a specific number of goals, considering only regular time.
The market resolves to Yes if Greuther Furth wins the match by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals in the Greuther Furth vs Bochum professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, with the victory assessed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Conversely, the market also resolves to Yes if Bochum wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals under the same conditions, reflecting outcomes based on goal differentials within regular time only.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the crowd-sourced nature of trading. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analysis and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent momentum, injuries, or other developments affecting either team.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic price that reflects the collective wisdom of participants. The current implied chance of each outcome is displayed as a percentage, and trading volume shows how much activity is driving price changes. Market depth and recent trades help determine where the spread is most likely to settle.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential after regulation time will determine which side wins, and the market will close based on that official result. No overtime or other post-regulation factors are considered for settlement.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Weather conditions on game day, referee announcements, or even early in-game performance may cause rapid price adjustments as participants react to new information. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of a win, loss, or draw will influence odds.