TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match between Gremio and Sao Paulo. It specifically evaluates whether either team will secure a decisive lead of more than 1.5 goals before halftime. The outcome hinges solely on the performance during the first 45 minutes of play.
The event determines whether either Gremio or Sao Paulo will win the first half of their Brasileiro Serie A soccer match by more than 1.5 goals. If Gremio achieves this margin of victory in the first half, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Conversely, if Sao Paulo secures a lead exceeding 1.5 goals in the same half, the market resolves positively for their outcome. Only goals scored during the first half count, and the market applies to the game originally scheduled for August 8, 2026. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, the market will resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first-half spread is calculated based on goals scored by each team in that period, and the market settles accordingly.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the first half. Momentum swings early in the match, such as a goal or red card, often cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Media reports about team strategies or player fitness updates may also influence this market. As Aug 8, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news will be priced in by participants on Kalshi.