TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Gremio and Mirassol, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It examines whether either team secures a decisive lead by a certain number of goals within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-difference scenarios for the Gremio vs Mirassol professional Copa do Brasil soccer match scheduled for August 5, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct market outcomes are defined based on the magnitude of the winning margin for either team. If Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is independent, and only the specific condition corresponding to the actual result will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The spread will be calculated based on the final score, determining whether Mirassol’s victory exceeds the 1.5-goal threshold or not. The process relies on widely accepted match reports to ensure transparency and accuracy.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift this market. Media analysis and expert commentary leading up to the match often influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute news about team performance or strategy may cause rapid movements in odds as participants reassess their positions ahead of Aug 6, 2026.