TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These spread markets determine the extent of the winning margin in the Gremio vs Chapecoense match. Each threshold specifies a different minimum goal difference required for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Gremio vs Chapecoense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Markets resolve to Yes if Gremio wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Chapecoense wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader activity. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders may see divergence based on recent performance news, injury updates, or shifting public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point spreads. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is likely to cover the spread. As the match approaches, any new data — such as lineup changes or weather conditions — can cause rapid shifts in pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the agreed-upon spread to determine which side of the market is correct. The process relies on widely available sports data sources to ensure transparency and fairness for all participants.