TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 8:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Gremio and Bolivar. The outcome depends on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It focuses solely on goals scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
The event evaluates whether the total number of goals scored by both Gremio and Bolivar during the regulation time of their CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match exceeds specified thresholds. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts. If the cumulative goals surpass 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—depending on the specific market—the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Each threshold represents a distinct market, with higher thresholds demanding increasingly offensive performance from both teams. All markets are independent, and the resolution is based exclusively on goals scored within the defined timeframe. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of participants. The market uses a logarithmic market design to encourage efficient pricing and limit extreme volatility. As the event approaches, trading volume often increases, further refining the odds based on real-time sentiment and available information. This mechanism allows for dynamic adjustments as new data influences trader behavior.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after regulation time will determine whether the over or under target is met, closing this market based on the officially recorded result. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmation once the match concludes, as this will finalize the market's settlement.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, early betting trends and any significant news about team performance or morale may influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any update that alters the perceived likelihood of goal-scoring will likely cause price adjustments, so staying informed on team news is essential for tracking market movement.