TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many goals will be scored in the first half of an upcoming soccer match between Gremio and Bolivar. Each market sets a different threshold for the total goals needed to determine the outcome. The thresholds increase, offering varied predictions about the offensive intensity of the opening period.
The markets evaluate whether the total goals scored by both Gremio and Bolivar in the first half of their CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals). All markets apply exclusively to goals scored during the first half of the game originally scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than two weeks later, all markets resolve to a fair price following the event's official guidelines. The resolution depends on comparing the actual first-half goal count against each threshold, with higher thresholds requiring more goals to settle as 'Yes.'
On Kalshi, odds for the Gremio vs Bolivar first half total market reflect trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often price in nuanced factors like recent form and tactical matchups, which can create divergence from standard sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on broader public betting trends and analyst inputs, this market lets participants bet directly on their own expectations of the first half scoring outcome. The resulting probabilities may appear more volatile or reflective of insider insights compared to aggregated sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after the first half will determine whether the total goals fall into one of the market’s defined categories, closing all positions at that point.
Injuries to key attacking players, weather conditions affecting play style, or early momentum shifts in the match could all influence this market. Traders will also react to pre-game analysis, historical scoring trends between these teams, and any last-minute lineup announcements that suggest a more or less offensive approach from either side.