TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Gremio and Bolivar will battle in a playoff round of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, where the team that progresses to the next stage—regardless of whether through regulation time, extra time, or penalties—will determine the result.
The event involves a Playoff Round match in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana between Gremio and Bolivar, scheduled for July 30, 2026. The market resolves based on which team advances to the next stage of the competition, regardless of whether the advancement occurs through regulation time, extra time, or penalty shootouts. Two outcomes are possible: Gremio advances, or Bolivar advances. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi. Kalshi also states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and potential outcomes. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can lead to varied implied probabilities and different favorites or underdogs.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate expectations of market participants, with its chance percentage derived from the price of that contract. Volume of $290,711 indicates the level of interest and trading activity around the event.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that verified data, reflecting whether the reported score or other conditions match the available contracts.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all impact this market as the match nears. Additionally, any significant news such as lineup announcements or recent form of the teams may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds in response to new information or shifting sentiment.