TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Gremio Novorizontino and Cuiaba, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary, allowing participants to assess different levels of dominance in the match.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Cuiaba Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes exist: Gremio Novorizontino winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gremio Novorizontino winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cuiaba winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Cuiaba winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a specific market resolution condition. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding breaking news or late-developing trends. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Brazilian Serie B match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gremio Novorizontino or Cuiaba would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or any controversies surrounding the game could also play a role. Even public perception and analysis from sports commentators could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.