TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the exact score of a professional soccer match between two teams. Bettors can choose from a range of possible outcomes, each corresponding to a specific final score after regular time.
The market resolves based on the exact score of the Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS vs Sao Paulo FC SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 8, 2026. The result must be determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a specific scoreline, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the final score matches exactly the one specified in the market title. No alternative outcomes or tiebreakers are considered; the resolution depends solely on the precise numerical result of the match within the defined timeframe.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuanced factors like recent form or injury updates more dynamically. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader public betting patterns and may adjust more conservatively. The difference can create opportunities for arbitrage or insight into where market participants see value. Understanding both sets of odds helps you gauge where consensus lies and where discrepancies might offer predictive advantage.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, with the current odds reflecting the collective assessment of all participants. The top outcome’s chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most likely, while the volume of $13,253 indicates overall interest. Prices adjust continuously based on new information, such as player injuries or tactical changes. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid updates, capturing shifts in expectation as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against market contracts to determine which outcome matches the actual result, closing all positions accordingly.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 8, 2026. Major injuries to star players, tactical announcements from coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match day can all influence trader sentiment. High-profile performances in preceding matches may also reshape expectations. As the event draws nearer, any last-minute lineup changes or strategic shifts reported in credible sports media will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring official team announcements and expert analysis will help anticipate these movements.