TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS and Fluminense FC RJ on July 26, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS vs Fluminense FC RJ professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. The market encompasses all possible correct score outcomes, including draws and victories for either team across a range of scorelines from 0-0 through 5-2.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders betting their own capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates dispersed information from many independent participants, which can surface insights that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each correct-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves in real time as new orders arrive. Traders compete to buy low and sell high, and the spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on liquidity and conviction. This mechanism ensures prices incorporate available information quickly and reward accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Gremio versus Fluminense match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual goals scored by each team during regulation time. Traders holding positions on the correct scoreline receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the result is confirmed and recorded.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement in this market, as traders reassess each side's offensive and defensive capability. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into specific scorelines can signal where professionals see value. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form shifts also influence expectations. As match day approaches, the market often consolidates around the most likely outcomes, while exotic scorelines become cheaper. Live trading during the match itself may occur if the platform permits in-play wagering.