TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 8:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will outscore the other by a specific margin during a particular quarter of a football game. Each market has a different threshold for the point difference needed for a resolution, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Green Bay and Pittsburgh exclusively during the second quarter of their scheduled game on August 13, 2026. Each market specifies a unique threshold for the winning margin: outcomes range from a minimum margin of 2.5 points up to a maximum margin of 10.5 points, applied separately for both teams. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact or greater point differential in that quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, with no regard to the overall game outcome or points from other quarters.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks set their lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their own assessments, which can lead to tighter spreads or different favorite dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game at the end of the second quarter will be used to determine whether the spread posted by traders proves correct, closing the market and paying out all open positions accordingly.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, or strategic changes by coaches can all shift expectations for how the second quarter will unfold, moving this market. Additionally, any significant momentum swings during the early stages of the game may cause traders to adjust their bets, impacting the odds as Aug 14, 2026 approaches.