TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will reach certain touchdown milestones, adding an additional layer of engagement to the game.
The event evaluates various touchdown thresholds for both Green Bay and New York J in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team achieves the designated number of touchdowns (2+, 3+, or 4+). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The outcome hinges solely on the official touchdown counts recorded by each team during the game.
Frequently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders predicting the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions about the teams' capabilities. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the market believes there is value in one direction or the other.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, the total number of touchdowns scored. As more traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. The current price reflects the collective assessment of the Packers and Jets’ offensive potential.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the New York Jets in the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and impartial result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total touchdowns will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries to either the Packers or Jets, particularly quarterbacks or star receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring output. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could shift traders’ expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team performance or matchups could contribute to price movements in this market.