TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players get the ball during a football game. They focus on whether particular players receive the ball enough times to meet set thresholds, reflecting their involvement and usage in the team's offensive strategy.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by designated players during the specified football game. For each market, if the named player records the minimum number of rushing attempts specified in the market title, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A rushing attempt is counted each time the player carries the ball past the line of scrimmage, regardless of yardage gained or whether the play is later nullified by penalty. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, the market outcome is determined solely by the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game, even if those attempts occur after the player exits the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific number of rushing attempts occurring in the Green Bay vs. New York game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of rushing attempts in the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of rushing attempts, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics available after the conclusion of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting inclement conditions that might favor a run-heavy offense. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive play-calling could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public perception, driven by analysis or commentary, can also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the market’s dynamics.