TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on individual player performance in an upcoming football game, specifically tracking how many receiving yards certain players achieve during the match. Each market evaluates different yardage thresholds for the players' performance.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the Green Bay vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a specific yardage threshold for the designated player, and resolution is contingent solely on the player's performance metrics as defined in each individual market's primary rule.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the odds on Kalshi may converge with, diverge from, or even lead sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional betting markets, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receiving yards. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total for both the Green Bay Packers and the New York Jets, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle to the nearest whole yard, reflecting the total combined receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers on both teams during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends on either team – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or favorable/unfavorable matchups – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also impact passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the prices in this market.