TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It considers scenarios where either team achieves this milestone or if neither team reaches that score throughout the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on which team first scores 14 points in the Green Bay vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If New York J reaches 14 points before Green Bay, the market for New York J resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Green Bay scores 14 points first, that market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this score by the end of regulation or overtime, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result will be based on the final official outcome. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets operate independently but are interconnected through these resolution conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These differences can stem from varying levels of expertise among participants and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where accurate forecasts are directly rewarded. However, both aim to predict the same outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Packers or the Jets will reach 14 points first. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders place orders, reflecting the collective intelligence of those participating. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for each team to achieve the target score.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team, the Green Bay Packers or the New York Jets, officially reaches 14 points first according to official game statistics. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will undoubtedly lead to rapid adjustments in the price of contracts. Public sentiment and expert analysis released leading up to and during the game could also play a role in shaping market movements.