TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of individual players and teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether they exceed specified fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on the players' and teams' statistical contributions as measured by a standardized fantasy scoring system. All markets are evaluated based on the official game result, including any overtime periods.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player or team accumulates more than the stated number of fantasy points during the entire game, including overtime. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing and rushing yards, touchdowns, receptions, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The final fantasy-point totals are taken from Sleeper’s official publication at market expiration, with no rounding or post-expiration adjustments allowed. The scoring system details specific point values for categories including passing and rushing yards (with bonuses per 25 yards and 10 yards respectively), touchdowns, interceptions, two-point conversions, receptions, kicking performance, and defensive/special teams contributions such as sacks, interceptions, and points allowed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the total fantasy points scored. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players in the Green Bay Packers and New York Jets game will be used to determine the total fantasy points scored, and that total will be compared to the contract values traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on officially recorded statistics from a widely recognized fantasy football provider, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups, weather forecasts impacting passing or rushing games, or even late-breaking news about team strategies could all shift traders’ expectations. Furthermore, general sentiment and analysis from fantasy football experts and analysts could also impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.