TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between Green Bay and New York J, excluding any overtime periods. It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last quarter of play, separate from the overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the 4th quarter of the Green Bay vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, excluding overtime. If New York J scores more points in that quarter, the 'New York J wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay scores more points, the 'Green Bay wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Only points scored during the 4th quarter—excluding overtime—are counted toward determining the outcome.
Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the prediction market may diverge. However, it's common to see a strong correlation, especially as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the motivations of participants in each venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the fourth quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game will be declared the winner of this market. The final score will be verified against official game statistics and reporting to determine which team secured the lead at the final whistle. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed during pre-game reports could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed bettors could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.