TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Green Bay or New York J during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Bettors can choose from various point spreads to gauge how decisively one team might outperform the other in that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Green Bay and New York J exclusively during the third quarter of their scheduled game on September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 1.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points. If the winning team exceeds the stated spread during that quarter, the respective market resolves as Yes; otherwise, it resolves as No. All outcomes depend solely on points scored in the third quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or points from other quarters. The markets cover both possible winners, allowing participants to bet on either team's potential dominance in that specific quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction markets and sportsbooks will adjust their odds. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, as they continuously incorporate new information from a wider range of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Packers-Jets third quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a fair value representing the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible outcome, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's potential trajectory.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official third quarter spread of the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point differential at the end of the third quarter, as determined by official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 for the winning spread and 0 for the losing spread, reflecting the actual result of the game. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest challenging playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies.