TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second quarter of an upcoming football game. It captures the competitive performance of each team during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second quarter of the designated football game. If New York Jets score more points than Green Bay in that quarter, the 'New York J wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay scores more points, the 'Green Bay wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result does not affect resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see prediction market odds move differently than sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome of the second quarter between the Packers and the Jets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where participants simultaneously bid to buy and offer to sell contracts. The price of each contract represents the market’s assessment of the probability of a particular outcome. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Traders are constantly updating their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price adjustments. This mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse perspectives and generate a forecast that reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that has the higher score at the end of the second quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Numerous factors could influence this market leading up to its resolution around Sep 20, 2026. Significant injuries to key players on either team would be a major catalyst, altering the perceived probabilities. Early performance in the game, especially during the first quarter, could also drive price movements. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could favor one team's strategy. Finally, any unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player availability could trigger shifts in trading activity and market prices.