TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the second quarter of an upcoming football game by a specific margin. Each outcome represents different point differentials that determine the level of victory required for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Green Bay vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Markets are structured around varying point differentials, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories (e.g., winning by more than 1.5 points) to decisive margins (e.g., winning by more than 10.5 points). For Green Bay markets, a Yes outcome occurs if they outscore New York J by the specified threshold; for New York J markets, a Yes outcome occurs if they outscore Green Bay by the specified threshold. No other quarters or overall game results influence resolution, and all markets operate independently of each other.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly incorporate new data into their assessments. However, both offer unique perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread between the Packers and the Jets. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the market gets to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived probability of each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 2nd quarter spread of the Green Bay Packers versus the New York Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics and reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the market’s final price, and proportionally less if it does not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Jets would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and cause price fluctuations.