TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a football game between Green Bay and New York J, specifically analyzing how much one team might outscore the other in the latter half of the match, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold; if Green Bay wins the second half by exceeding the stated margin, the respective 'Green Bay wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New York J achieves the required margin, the corresponding 'New York J wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods are considered for resolution. The markets are independent, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the actual point differential.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both markets. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about future events, while sportsbook odds are often static until closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Packers-Jets second half spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the expected spread. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second half spread of the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. The final spread will determine which contracts pay out, and at what value, based on the contract’s specified spread. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract's value at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market.