TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and offensive output of the match.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Green Bay and New York J during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold: if the combined first-half points exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 3.5, 7.5, 10.5, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first half count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. The official game result, as recorded by the governing league, determines the outcome, with adjustments for any game rescheduling or official changes to the match timing.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public, as this market can incorporate information faster than traditional odds-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, whether the first half total will be over or under the specified number. As more people buy contracts predicting one outcome, the price increases, while selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective predictions of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official first half total points scored in the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, and all contract holders will be settled accordingly once the result is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Jets, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive contributors, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions that might affect scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.