TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Green Bay or New York J in the first half of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the designated Green Bay vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. For markets where Green Bay is the favored team, resolution occurs if Green Bay wins the first half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 13.5, 10.5, 9.5 points, etc.). Conversely, for markets where New York J is the favored team, resolution occurs if New York J wins the first half by more than the specified point margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 points, etc.). Only points scored during the first half of official game play are considered; any points from overtime, halftime adjustments, or post-game events are excluded. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its own threshold, without regard to other market outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as it incorporates a wider range of perspectives and reacts quickly to changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half spread as determined by the game’s official statistics. This means the difference in scores between the Green Bay Packers and the New York Jets at the end of the first half will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to indicate whether the actual spread was above or below the specified contract value.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Major news stories or public statements from coaches or players that influence perceptions of team confidence or strategy could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price.