TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in a football match, requiring both conditions to be met for resolution. Each market focuses on a unique pairing of half-time and final results, allowing participants to speculate on precise game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified football match. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the first half result and the full game result must match the market's specified conditions. If either condition is not met, the market resolves as No. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market will resolve to a fair price. All outcomes are determined by official league results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market may adjust more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events influencing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating potential price resistance and support levels. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Green Bay Packers versus New York Jets game, specifically the first half and fulltime result as determined by official game statistics. The final score and any relevant game details will be used to determine the winning contract(s) in this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be eligible for payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Jets would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also trigger adjustments. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can act as signals, potentially indicating informed opinions or shifts in market sentiment regarding the Packers vs Jets game.