TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point differential outcome between two football teams in an upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a specific range of points by which either team could win. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Minnesota and Green Bay in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, including any overtime periods. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within the specified range for that market: Minnesota winning by 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, or Green Bay winning by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points. If the game ends in a tie (0-point differential), only the market for a tie resolves as 'Yes.' All markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its specific condition separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the game’s outcome. If a significant number of people believe the Packers will win by a larger margin than sportsbooks anticipate, the price of those contracts will increase, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that margin occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts predicting a specific margin, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Green Bay Packers versus the Minnesota Vikings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual winning margin, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different scoring outcomes. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team morale or preparation could contribute to price fluctuations.