TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of touchdowns are met by either team during the match. It reflects the offensive capabilities of the teams under pressure in a head-to-head contest.
The event evaluates various touchdown thresholds for both Green Bay and Minnesota in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team records the exact number of touchdowns or more as outlined in its primary rule. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure that outcomes reflect actual game performance when possible, while providing a fallback for unusual scheduling disruptions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially react to major news, this market can incorporate a wider range of factors and subtle signals, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of touchdowns, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of each possible touchdown total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of touchdowns scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings in the official game statistics will determine the result. The resolution will be based on the official game data and will be verified against credible public sources. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final touchdown total, based on the contract prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team, such as the quarterbacks or top receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also shift expectations regarding scoring. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.