TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting whether specific players will achieve certain reception thresholds in an upcoming football game. It tracks individual player performance metrics, allowing participants to bet on exact reception counts for key offensive contributors.
All markets resolve based on official game statistics for receptions recorded by specified players during the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap - even if that snap is nullified by penalty - the market resolves strictly based on actual receptions recorded during the game. All thresholds are inclusive (e.g., '2+' means two or more receptions). Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a diverse group of traders. Over time, the prices in this market often become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome, as traders continuously update their beliefs based on new data. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful comparison point for understanding public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receptions in the Packers-Vikings game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Green Bay versus Minnesota game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of receptions made by players on both teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on data from official sources and will be publicly available. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant, as would any changes in the projected game plan. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and, therefore, reception totals. Major news regarding team dynamics or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Any late-breaking information that affects the perceived likelihood of different reception outcomes has the potential to move this market.