TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of quarterbacks Kyler Murray and Jordan Love in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves. The outcomes depend entirely on the in-game statistics of these players, reflecting their offensive contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Kyler Murray or Jordan Love in the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any market, if the referenced quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns they record during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ passing touchdowns), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes based on actual game performance, regardless of pre-game expectations or in-game anomalies.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price changes are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams during the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of passing touchdowns achieved. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.