TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It highlights the defensive challenges each quarterback faces during the match.
The official rules for this event govern markets centered on passing interceptions for Kyler Murray and Jordan Love in the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective quarterback records a specified minimum number of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) during the game. A key secondary rule states that if a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of passing interceptions recorded. These rules ensure clarity in resolution, accounting for player participation and in-game events, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information asymmetry. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and continuously update with new information. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they move in response to early market activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing interceptions thrown during the Packers-Vikings game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of interceptions, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the total number of interceptions thrown by both quarterbacks combined during the entirety of the game, including any overtime periods. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks’ health or playing status would be significant, as would reports about weather conditions – inclement weather often leads to more interceptions. Changes in defensive strategies announced by either team could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game events, such as early interceptions or key injuries, will cause rapid price adjustments. Finally, general public sentiment and betting trends can also impact volume and price, especially as the game approaches and more information becomes available.