TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific quarterbacks will achieve certain passing completion thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different completion milestone, allowing participants to bet on various performance levels.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing completions achieved by the specified quarterback during the Green Bay vs Minnesota Professional Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the named quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the completion threshold specified.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, with this market sometimes offering different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks for the same event. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a particular number of passing completions, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing completion statistics from the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both teams during the game will determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Packers or the Vikings would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions like heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about passing volume. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust the prices within this market.