TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Green Bay and Minnesota. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team manages to score a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Green Bay vs. Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Minnesota scores first, Green Bay scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—whether offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the result, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional point spreads, though this isn’t always the case. Examining the difference between the two can offer valuable insight into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Packers or the Vikings scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and opinions influence trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Packers or Vikings quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also influence trading activity, especially if conditions favor one team’s offensive style over the other. Even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can also create noticeable price movements in this market.