TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether designated participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds. Each market centers on a particular player or the team's defense, assessing their statistical contributions against predefined benchmarks. Outcomes are determined by comparing official game statistics to these targets.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defenses during the full game, including overtime, of Green Bay versus Minnesota scheduled for September 13, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing and rushing yards, touchdowns, receptions, field goals, sacks, interceptions, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate or lack a recorded fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections. Each market has a unique threshold; if a participant’s total exceeds their specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' The markets cover a range of offensive players, kickers, and both teams' defensive units, each evaluated against their individual point targets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total fantasy points scored in the Packers-Vikings game will be over or under a certain level. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't fixed but dynamically adjusts as traders exchange views, providing a real-time assessment of probability.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for all relevant players in the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game will be used to determine whether the total exceeds or falls below the threshold defined by the market. The official fantasy point totals from a major fantasy sports provider will serve as the basis for settlement, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Packers or Vikings would likely cause significant movement, as it directly impacts projected fantasy point totals. Changes in weather forecasts could also play a role, especially if inclement weather is expected to affect passing or rushing performance. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also shift trader sentiment and cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters expectations about player performance has the potential to move this market.