TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Green Bay vs Minnesota: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Green Bay vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$513,165

Christian Watson

 - Kalshi

Christian Watson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 5:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian Watson

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,784
N/A
N/A
$57,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Demond Claiborne

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
100¢
N/A
$14,256
N/A
N/A
$14,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Jefferson

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,192
N/A
N/A
$83,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Golden

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,947
N/A
N/A
$69,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Reed

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,154
N/A
N/A
$48,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,746
N/A
N/A
$36,509
Settled
No
kalshi

T.J. Hockenson

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,910
N/A
N/A
$29,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,811
N/A
N/A
$28,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Jauan Jennings

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,509
N/A
N/A
$24,499
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonnu Smith

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,084
N/A
N/A
$18,777
Settled
No
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,250
N/A
N/A
$16,950
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Addison

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,472
N/A
N/A
$16,182
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Love

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,891
N/A
N/A
$15,391
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Oliver

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,631
N/A
N/A
$9,631
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Mason

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,219
N/A
N/A
$9,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,165
N/A
N/A
$9,116
Settled
No
kalshi

Myles Price

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,161
N/A
N/A
$3,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaleb Johnson

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
$2,799
Settled
No
kalshi

GB Packers D/ST

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
$1,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Skyy Moore

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,498
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
kalshi

MIN Vikings D/ST

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,471
N/A
N/A
$1,461
Settled
No
kalshi

Tai Felton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Melton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Brooks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Whyle

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event tracks which player will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between two teams. Participants can speculate on individual players' chances to be the first to cross the goal line, reflecting both team strategies and player roles.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the first touchdown of the game. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets for the event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market displays the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, along with a price history chart. It also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $480,270, and the total volume traded to date, which is $513,165. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about which player is most likely to achieve this feat, and the dashboard visualizes these predictions in real-time. This allows participants to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may shift in response, potentially offering different value compared to what’s available at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player to score the first touchdown, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that player scoring first. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and the market aggregates the collective intelligence of its participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first player to score a touchdown in the Green Bay versus Minnesota game will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game records and announced shortly after the game concludes. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and subsequent settlement of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also influence the market, as they might affect passing or running strategies. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or significant coaching decisions could also drive price movements. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and impact the prices within this market.