TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds to wager on, allowing for detailed analysis of potential scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Green Bay or Minnesota in the first half of the game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold; if the named team scores more than the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The thresholds vary from 2.5 to 30.5 points for each team, offering a range of betting options. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the actual points scored in the first half, regardless of the final game outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and can shift rapidly based on new information and trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome – that is, either team exceeding their projected first-half total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome, and vice-versa. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and analysis, establishing a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings will be used to determine whether either team exceeded their projected total. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their contracts align with the resolved outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting shifts in collective trader sentiment.