TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first half result and the final game result to match a predetermined scenario for resolution. The outcomes consider all possible win conditions, including ties in the first half.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods, of the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome combinations, ensuring consistency in resolution methodology.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, as they aggregate diverse opinions and respond quickly to new information. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, offering a different viewpoint on the Packers-Vikings game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely move as new information becomes available, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, influencing trader decisions.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Green Bay Packers versus Minnesota Vikings game, specifically the outcome of both the first half and the fulltime result. The final score and result will be verified against trusted sports news sources to ensure accuracy and determine which contracts will pay out based on the winning outcome in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Vikings would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Major news stories or controversies surrounding either team could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking analysis from respected sports analysts might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to movement in this market.