TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Green Bay vs Denver: Spread
kalshi

Green Bay vs Denver: Spread

Volume:
$1,441,042

Green Bay wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 12:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,220
N/A
N/A
$77,854
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$113,656
N/A
N/A
$75,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 14.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,102
N/A
N/A
$46,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,276
N/A
N/A
$33,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 3.5 points

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,121
N/A
N/A
$37,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 13.5 points

100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,617
N/A
N/A
$26,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 10.5 points

100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,047
N/A
N/A
$23,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,977
N/A
N/A
$23,650
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 1.5 points

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,520
N/A
N/A
$16,413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,032
N/A
N/A
$19,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay wins by over 5.5 points

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,675
N/A
N/A
$14,667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$226,490
N/A
N/A
$135,468
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 5.5 points

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,552
N/A
N/A
$121,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 7.5 points

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,661
N/A
N/A
$49,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,991
N/A
N/A
$43,529
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,725
N/A
N/A
$41,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 1.5 points

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,265
N/A
N/A
$31,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 4.5 points

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,331
N/A
N/A
$24,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 9.5 points

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,529
N/A
N/A
$23,104
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 13.5 points

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,338
N/A
N/A
$8,549
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,122
N/A
N/A
$9,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 16.5 points

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,727
N/A
N/A
$9,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 20.5 points

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,622
N/A
N/A
$8,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,451
N/A
N/A
$6,741
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 14.5 points

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,996
N/A
N/A
$3,890
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks whether Green Bay will win the upcoming football game against Denver by more than 1.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that Green Bay wins by over 1.5 points stands at 88.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's result. The decisive signal to watch will be the game’s conclusion on August 21, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each defined by a specific point differential threshold for either team winning the game. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the stated margin of victory. For instance, a market requiring Denver to win by over 20.5 points will resolve positively only if Denver's victory margin surpasses that threshold. Conversely, markets specifying Green Bay's winning margin operate under the same principle. All markets share the same underlying game – the Green Bay vs Denver Pro Football match scheduled for August 21, 2026 – and are subject to the same disclaimers regarding affiliations with the governing league. The outcome of each market is determined solely by the final score of the game, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and risk appetite. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads, this market lets participants bet on where the actual point differential will fall, sometimes pricing in sharper adjustments based on real-time news or injury updates. Traders may react faster than sportsbooks, leading to temporary gaps between the two.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance implied by its current price. The market’s liquidity and volume of $1,441,042 help determine how tightly bids and asks are spaced. As new information emerges — like key player injuries or weather forecasts — trader sentiment shifts, adjusting the odds dynamically on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result and point differential, which is then matched against the positions traders have taken. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded score.

Injuries to star players, weather conditions on game day, and coaching strategy shifts can all impact this market. Key practice reports or quarterback performance updates often trigger rapid price moves. Traders will also watch line adjustments from sportsbooks — when the broader betting market shifts, it can spill over into this market, prompting Kalshi participants to reassess their positions.