TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 12:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Green Bay will win the upcoming football game against Denver by more than 1.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that Green Bay wins by over 1.5 points stands at 88.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's result. The decisive signal to watch will be the game’s conclusion on August 21, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each defined by a specific point differential threshold for either team winning the game. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the stated margin of victory. For instance, a market requiring Denver to win by over 20.5 points will resolve positively only if Denver's victory margin surpasses that threshold. Conversely, markets specifying Green Bay's winning margin operate under the same principle. All markets share the same underlying game – the Green Bay vs Denver Pro Football match scheduled for August 21, 2026 – and are subject to the same disclaimers regarding affiliations with the governing league. The outcome of each market is determined solely by the final score of the game, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance implied by its current price. The market’s liquidity and volume of $1,441,042 help determine how tightly bids and asks are spaced. As new information emerges — like key player injuries or weather forecasts — trader sentiment shifts, adjusting the odds dynamically on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result and point differential, which is then matched against the positions traders have taken. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded score.
Injuries to star players, weather conditions on game day, and coaching strategy shifts can all impact this market. Key practice reports or quarterback performance updates often trigger rapid price moves. Traders will also watch line adjustments from sportsbooks — when the broader betting market shifts, it can spill over into this market, prompting Kalshi participants to reassess their positions.