TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points Green Bay and Denver will score together in the first quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these evaluations.
All markets assess whether the combined points scored by Green Bay and Denver in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 21, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Resolution depends solely on the total points accumulated during the first quarter of play, with each market resolving to 'Yes' if the collective score surpasses its respective threshold. No other quarters or game phases influence these outcomes. The secondary rule consistently clarifies that only points from the first quarter contribute, ensuring uniform application across all thresholds.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders rather than oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on broader public betting patterns and proprietary models, this market prices in closer to a pure probability estimate driven by participant activity. Traders on Kalshi may show tighter spreads or different implied probabilities, especially if recent performance trends or injury updates shift expectations for the first quarter scoring pace.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will be compared against the defined over/under threshold to determine which side of this market is correct. No additional interpretation or judgment is needed beyond the publicly recorded game statistics.
Injuries to key offensive players, weather conditions that might affect scoring pace, and any last-minute coaching strategy changes could all shift expectations for first-quarter scoring and move this market. Additionally, strong pre-game momentum or notable lineup adjustments could cause traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions, especially if they signal a higher or lower offensive output than previously anticipated.