TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 6:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Qian Sun and Petr Bar Biryukov in the Greece F17, Singles, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Qian Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Qian Sun and Petr Bar Biryukov in the Greece F17, Singles, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Qian Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader analytics and risk models, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their insights. This can create tighter or wider spreads, depending on recent performance, injuries, or other factors affecting the players. Comparing both can reveal shifts in crowd-sourced expectations versus institutional forecasts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the balance of bets placed, with prices adjusting dynamically as new information emerges. This decentralized pricing captures the community's real-time assessment of each player's chances, influenced by factors such as recent form, head-to-head history, and court conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player advances or wins the Greece F17 singles competition. After the match, the platform will finalise the market based on publicly available results from tournament organizers and reputable sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include recent practice sessions, injury updates, weather forecasts affecting court playability, and any last-minute changes in player availability. Performance metrics from earlier rounds, such as serve accuracy or break points converted, may also influence trader sentiment. As the match date nears, any news from coaches, official tournament announcements, or unexpected disruptions can cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket.